Copper Keeps Ripping
Copper has been powering higher in the last month.
This move adds another leg to a run that started a year ago. (To be fair, copper was trading around US$2.60 per lb. before crashing to just US$2.10 per lb. when COVID hit. So the chart below catches a bit of the COVID crash, but only a bit.)
This last month copper has traded higher no matter what other metals are doing, often even no matter what the US dollar is doing. I’ve discussed before the swath of bullish medium- to long-term narrative, which distill down to overall recovery plus green energy pushing demand higher against in sufficient supply.
In discussing copper, I had cautioned that a pullback might materialize. And so it did, sort of, with the price sliding from $4.25 per lb in late February to $3.98 per lb a few weeks ago.
Looks like that might have been it. The thing with copper is that, despite being a massive market that turns over 20 million tonnes of metal a year, it is also always a tight market. And the thing with tight markets is that they are easily disrupted and they respond to disruption, especially when
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Sorry for the Frustration…Not Sorry for What I’ve Said
“… gold will be a bit late to the party” …. All the time that I have been following you (2 years) and going to the Metals Investor Forum, gold has been about to rocket off into the cosmos. Then last September gold has gone sideways; and now “…gold will be a bit late to the party”.
Not happy. Please explain.
Reader NM
In the last 2.5 years gold has done this:
Gold miners as a whole have done this, using the GDX as a proxy:
There really is no good proxy for junior gold explorers. The TSX Venture Composite Index used to be a reasonable representation but now, with virtual currencies and pot stocks and other tech items, it really isn’t any more. So I can’t show what juniors have done. I would say they’ve followed a similar pattern, albeit with smaller gains (explorers don’t enjoy the same leverage to a rising metal price as miners enjoy because they don’t actually produce, or often even have in the ground, any gold) and a lot more volatility stemming from results.
So my first response is that gold has done darn well.
My second response is that I do not
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