Uranium Stays Aloft: The Kazatomprom Effect

From The Maven Letter: 7 February 2024

I’ve been talking about uranium a lot – and I’m going to talk about uranium again today because developments just keep feeding the bull thesis for this market.

The big news last week was Kazatomprom revealing just how much less uranium they will produce this year compared to what they were promising to produce just a few months ago. In the middle of January they warned this news was coming…but the details were worse than expected.

The miner cut 2024 guidance by 14.2%, erasing 9.5 million pounds of expected supply. That was perhaps in line with expectations. The worse part came if you paid close attention to what’s driving the miss, which is not only limited access to sulphuric acid but also that the big new mines Kazatomprom is relying on for growth are requiring more acid to produce each pound of uranium.

Acid needs are higher for two reasons: acidifying a new leach mine requires a big initial flush of acid, and these are big mines so that’s a lot of acid, and the geology at these new mines just requires more acid to pull the uranium out of the rock. Since Kazatomprom

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